MOETF [def] #downturn

MOETF == MyOwnETF i.e. my own portfolio of U.S. stocks

Due to tcost, I don’t bother to compute the percentage weight, biggest gainer/losers, sector weighting,,,

— ETF .. is the main benchmark and competitor to MOETF.
ETF seems to be popular among mt cohort. I guess up to 10% of my peers have an ETF-only (or ETF-mostly) portfolio. In my defense of stock-picking, here are my first j4:

  • convictions .. I have a view about hundreds of stocks or specific sectors. ETF doesn’t let me act on my views.
    • Similarly, commission charges also prevent me from acting on my views, so am lucky to have the commission-free platforms.
  • percentage .. I can, and often do, increase (buy) or decrease (sell, rare) the percentage weight of each name
  • stocks: learn fast, though the learning is possibly superficial. In index investing, there’s no active learning, no knowledge I can gain and share with my family and friends. When my hand-picked bets work well, I feel the “kick”. This is a kinda positive feedback
  • stock picking is classic recreational investing, where (unrealized) PnL is sometimes not the #1 ROTI
  • constituents .. I can see the constituent names more easily. With ETF it’s harder so I won’t bother to find the answer.
  • .. flipside: distraction. See buy-n-forget→ sleep]peace, focus@work

me: “Look at my portfolio return!”
them: “But my SPY has even better return”

I accept that. However, in defense of MOETF I will raise my finger and point at other financial advantages, beyond that return:

  • MOETF has better dividend yield than most indices. I can handpick stocks with high CDY (above 9%). No such CDY in any ETF.
  • xjl crunch in a downturn … if and when I need to liquidate some, I could choose which stock to liquidate, as some are more profitable, or more distressed, or with more potential. Impossible with ETF.  In contrast, between 5 ETFs, I’m less likely to find one “above water”. See also my blogpost on bluechips are more dependable.

— drawbacks… tcost is the key drawback and part of most items below. However, as recreational investing, roti is measured by an unconventional yardstick.

  • dividend monitoring is too complicated
  • some names have a very high unit price, so I must use fractional share.. market order only
  • pre-clearance exempted for real ETF

Employer may say “Are you too busy trading on the sideline”? My defense:

  1. my trading activity is mostly during U.S. hours
  2. small trades, quick due diligence
  3. many decisions and analyses (even the money) were from family members. However, my browsing history in office is recorded, possibly not investigated. Better search at home.
  4. Some pre-clearances didn’t lead to actual transactions

— Matt of OC was the first to suggest the strategy to buy entire stock market. According to him, over a longer horizon (like 10Y?) the overall market always go up. I think it’s true in U.S. market, not true in the China or Japan or European stock markets. When I asked further, I think he said at least buy the entire U.S. stock market.