k_babysit4exit
— bbSit4exit .. about the doctrine, the conventional wisdom
— A stock is labelled “babysitt needed (potentially)” if meeting all conditions:
- (at risk of) excessive exposure, oversized .. generally close to $50 (or $100?) However, see speed up: riskCapital4U.S.eq 20k #Aaron
- low div .. below 2%. Hard to buy-n-forget
- often a hot stock, but lacking the long-term trend of MSFT
Classic examples — bccy; FXO; futures
— Many companies are labelled ‘unestablished’:
- they usually pay no dividend if they are even profitable. They need all the cash to grow.
- they often show unstable profits or no profits … a feature of the fast growth “adolescent phase”
- they could show high market cap, up to 100B, but still unestablished.
- they could show a “founded” date 10Y ago, but that’s unreliable. It could be in a very different business.
- They are automatically baby-sitting stocks, unless risk capital < $20.
- — eg:
- Catcha
- beyond meat
- many tech stocks
- some of the bio stocks
- some of the EV stocks
- twitter? no business model
- moderna? proven profitability but no dividend and no long-term trend
- — not unestablished
- coinbase? biz model good
- IBM, HPE, Oracle, GM, GE ..