t_bbSitt ^t_bbSit4exit ^ t_unestablished companies

k_babysit4exit

— bbSit4exit .. about the doctrine, the conventional wisdom

— A stock is labelled “babysitt needed (potentially)” if meeting all conditions:

  • (at risk of) excessive exposure, oversized .. generally close to $50 (or $100?) However, see speed up: riskCapital4U.S.eq 20k #Aaron
  • low div .. below 2%. Hard to buy-n-forget
  • often a hot stock, but lacking the long-term trend of MSFT

Classic examples — bccy; FXO; futures

— Many companies are labelled ‘unestablished’:

  • they usually pay no dividend if they are even profitable. They need all the cash to grow.
  • they often show unstable profits or no profits … a feature of the fast growth “adolescent phase”
  • they could show high market cap, up to 100B, but still unestablished.
  • they could show a “founded” date 10Y ago, but that’s unreliable. It could be in a very different business.
  • They are automatically baby-sitting stocks, unless risk capital < $20.
  • — eg:
  • Catcha
  • beyond meat
  • many tech stocks
  • some of the bio stocks
  • some of the EV stocks
  • twitter? no business model
  • moderna? proven profitability but no dividend and no long-term trend
  • — not unestablished
  • coinbase? biz model good
  • IBM, HPE, Oracle, GM, GE ..