bx=1@the pillars@retirement planning #Joshua

Hi Joshua,

  • If I pass away (the ‘simple’ scenario) —- I would leave behind enough for my wife and kids, including 1) the payout from my corporate group term life 2) my CPF + DPS 3) my small CI insurance 4) MyCarePlus
  • If I hit a critical illness —- then hospitalization cost would be covered by 1) Aviva MySheild, in addition to 2) corporate insurance 3) my small CI insurance
  • If I become disabled and unable to work —- then hopefully MyCarePlus plan would kick in with $5k/month.

Beyond these insurance protections, it would be fake to name insurance as the base of my portfolio. Instead, the base of my portfolio is diversified rental properties. They are inflation-proof, generate steady (hopefully stable) income, and can be cashed out with a lead time (unlike insurance plans). These properties may present some tantalizing vision of windfall appreciation, but I am not enamored with windfalls… I stay grounded and I keep a distance from that tantalizing vision.

Another small but life-saving component is contingency cash reserve. I don’t need a lot of cash so far because I’m debt-free basically all my life.

Actually, The real bedrock of my long-term financial planning is career longevity including dev-till-70.

So beside my properties as the base, my contingency reserve, CPF and insurance coverage are my 3 pillars. On top of these pillars and the base, I have built a small diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds and alternative investments.

Term Insurance can’t be the base because it is nonproductive. I liken insurance premium to option premium. Insurance means low-cost, high-leverage risk coverage.

Insurance is excellent diversification. Therefore, I hold a few term insurance plans with zero surrender value. I usually strip off the savings and investment portions as they represent horrible liquidity and paltry return… basically poor leverage. Even if I were patient enough, these investment portions generate such paltry cash flows that I would sink in half a million dollars just to receive a thousand dollars a month.

risk_capital is a new concept in 2021. If I must name the assets to provide a foundation beneath my risk capital, then

  • insurance plans
  • HDB + Beijing homes
  • CPF
  • contingency reserve

Clearly this foundation is different from the earlier “base”.

ElderShield details

Three common causal categories 1) illness 2) aging 3) accident — such as bone injury as per CSY

deferment 90D — if qualified at assessment time, Aviva will pay out the 3M amount as warehoused.

— Assessment — https://www.moh.gov.sg/careshieldlife/claims describes the details.

See the blogpost introducing the trap of high Pr(hit) but low Pr(payout)

ElderShield is designed for long-term nursing cost. If you are wheelchair bound but with sufficient upper-body strength, and you obviously can perform most ADLs then you won’t need full time care or ElderShield payout.

Qualifying for a ADL means you need a human helper. If you can use an equipment (like wheelchair) to help you perform an ADL then you don’t qualify.

I feel accidents seldom result in a disability severe enough. Accidental TPD is headline item, well-publicized, well-understood. Analogy — wind power is tiny contributor but the poster child of the broader renewable energy industry.

Barthel index .. an international standard of assessment, but MOH standard may not be 100% identical. https://www.physio-pedia.com/Barthel_Index has lots of details.

Q: what if I have difficulty performing the 6 ADLs? Grey area
%%A: No one knows except the assessor. It’s up to the individual assessor, but I guess it’s EITHER visibly-hard (like impossible) OR visibly-capable. If the old man has great difficulty, then he can easily act up and demonstrate that he is unable to take care of himself and needs a nurse. In theory, there is a grey area between visibly-hard and visibly-capable. Some assessor may see that grey area as very narrow or non-existent i.e. black-n-white.

Analogy .. Yoga personal lesson .. “I don’t believe you can improve my enough. How about this. If after 12M I still can’t touch my chest to my thigh and you can verify I’m not faking, then partial refund?”

Colin said “If you still can work then most likely you can’t claim.” This implies that the assessor would look at your ability to perform your (trained) job duty.

Joshua Yap (DBS) said if you demonstrate that you can’t recover to work in your occupation, then assessor would generally approve you.

Out of 100 claims (successful or not) in ElderShield and MyCare, 67% of the claims were made before age 55 .. surprising statistics.

  • Scenario E: during my earning years, disaster is less likely to kill me within 12 years => Need lifetime payout.
  • .. assessor is more likely to acknowledge (and confirm) the inability to work in my trained vocation — only during my earning years. It’s important to be still employed as a developer at old age !
  • .. I’m more likely (than Scenario R) to recover after a few years
  • Scenario R: during my retirement years (70+ for me), disaster is more likely to be destructive. Assessor is more sympathetic, and the retiree can more easily act up to get an approval.

On 26 Dec 2019 a Healthway doctor told me that age is not a factor, but I believe in the grey area age can affect the sympathy level.

personal accident bx – priorities

Among all the insurance types, PA is the one I care about the most. I have at least 2 very dangerous bicycle accidents. Features ranked in relevance and importance:

  1. temporary disability income, given I will be an hourly consultant, but all the plans I know offer the same benefit. So far, the $650/week is the highest I know.
  2. medical reimbursement? Statistically most frequently claimed
  3. —- rest are secondary —-
  4. hospital income
  5. TPD? Rare
  6. hospitalization? not available in any known plan

Timing? Perhaps wait till the MSIG expires. It’s also fine to start now.

Reply to Chin with billing details. Should be approved right away.

short answer2bx,retirement,financial freedom…

see also post on PR chart
see also email to Junli about financial freedom
see also https://tanbinvest.dreamhosters.com/2017/02/06/cashflow-during-retirement/

Let’s not try to be precise. Use point forms…

The ONE answer — stay healthy to work till 75

! any (professional) job would earn us $3k, even if we are not so “relevant” to the economy.

Observation: my wife and I have low burn rate…. S$3k.

Assumption: kids give or take net to $0. Medical, rent .. analyzed in https://tanbinvest.dreamhosters.com/2017/02/06/cashflow-during-retirement/

My bias: The longer I extend my “relevance” to the /value chain/, the longer I can earn a premium salary, well above the “regular” IT salary.