EQIX 1% dataCenter

  • πŸ™ 1%+ CDY dwarfed by rich (stock) valuation … overvalued in terms of CDY.
  • https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/03/why-equinix-reit-is-so-expensive/
  • πŸ™‚ familiar name, largest data center reit
  • πŸ™‚ analyst mostly positive. tgt $884 https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=EQIX
  • πŸ™‚ 60B, one of the biggest Reit’s in the world
  • fractional possible and required.

t_bbSitt ^t_bbSit4exit ^ t_unestablished companies

k_babysit4exit

— bbSit4exit .. about the doctrine, the conventional wisdom

— A stock is labelled “babysitt needed (potentially)” if meeting all conditions:

  • (at risk of) excessive exposure, oversized .. generally close to $50 (or $100?) However, see speed up: riskCapital4U.S.eq 20k #Aaron
  • low div .. below 2%. Hard to buy-n-forget
  • often a hot stock, butΒ lacking the long-term trend of MSFT

Classic examples — bccy; FXO; futures

— Many companies are labelled ‘unestablished’:

  • they usually pay no dividend if they are even profitable. They need all the cash to grow.
  • they often show unstable profits or no profits … a feature of the fast growth “adolescent phase”
  • they could show high market cap, up to 100B, but still unestablished.
  • they could show a “founded” date 10Y ago, but that’s unreliable. It could be in a very different business.
  • TheyΒ are automatically baby-sitting stocks, unless risk capital < $20.
  • — eg:
  • Catcha
  • beyond meat
  • many tech stocks
  • some of the bio stocks
  • some of the EV stocks
  • twitter? no business model
  • moderna? proven profitability but no dividend and no long-term trend
  • — not unestablished
  • coinbase? biz model good
  • IBM, HPE, Oracle, GM, GE ..

 

1800FLoWerS 0%

  • πŸ™ 0% CDY
  • πŸ™‚ analyst 100% positive $50 tgt https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=FLWS
  • πŸ™‚ low quantum
  • πŸ™‚Β $1B small-cap but familiar name
  • πŸ™‚ founded 1976, slightly more proven than most dotcoms
  • πŸ™‚ 5Y chart shows growth with recent free-fall

[22]172>AMZN 0.0% #^BTC^GM #add$30..60

— asset comparison

AMZN^BTC ..Β I feel even without dividend, AMZN is better than BTC. AMZN is a productive asset, with a proven business model and value proposition.

AMZN^GM .. both zero dividend, but GM has very low P/E, and Amazon has growth potential

140> SE:US 0% 0profit #upto $40

See the blogpost on MSFT

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/commentary/sea-limited-group-garena-shopee-stock-share-price-market-cap-13220044

https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/01/14/4-reasons-i-bought-sea-limited-stock/

… are two 2021 articles on Sea Limited.Β I think this is a typical hot tech stock.

  • appearance of diversified, but many failed companies were diversified too.
  • appearance of deep cash pile, but not deep when valued using the price2bookValue model

Surely there are many promising signs, but thousands of businesses have positive signs, and most of them don’t make enough money to justify the valuation. I want to remain cool-headed and skeptical about its losses though they are improving.