##when2sell stock/ETF, as recreational investor

The question about when to sell a given stock is multi-faceted.Β In recreational investing, the PnL is so far a minor factor, because my total committed amount is small.

Note the sunk tcost of research. Wiping out a stock 100% (too drastic?) would wipe out the learning. I would rather keep 0.1 share.

Sooner or later I would feel a pressure to sell some stocks. I wonder which j4 below would emerge as the first straw to break the camel’s back.

— j4 sell: need to free up cash ..

  • wipe clean .. RSP[$300], VTI, IEMG
  • reduce to smaller fraction .. DVY[$90],Β  ARKK, Verizon [$60] ,
  • reduce to 1 share .. TAK, LFC, GE, SPHD/SPYD,

— j4 sell: I foresee a crash? Completely against my buy-n-forget principle.
— j4 sell: get rid of fractional shares, to improve liquidity
— j4 sell: reduce exposure to uncomfortable sectors ..
— j4 sell: when too many forgettable names (small positions) on my portfolio cause distraction and interfere with my navigation. Therefore sell-ALL to wipe out one name at a time.

  • CARA? 90% BUY
  • SWBI? still recommended BUY
  • TCPC? excellent DYOC
  • TXMD? 100% BUY
  • Unit? 7% DYOC

— possibly overbought , considering the low CDY.

  • BGC 1%
  • CARA 0%
  • GE[$100] 0.3%
  • GM [$150] below 1%
  • Ford[$30] 0.5% … keep
  • HTA[$100] 4% .. keep

However, most of these names were recommended BUY and often well-known brands, bought in four figures by “other investors”. In hindsight, I should have stood back.

==== How to choose which name to sell
— criteria: Not a DYOC cash cow .. I won’t give up
— criteria: Not a (for wipe-out) household brand like Macy’s or Baba
— criteria: not a “recommended BUY”
— criteria: hopefully not in a growth sector like bio-science
— criteria: Not a prized, cherished triple-jumper (i.e. more than 200% price gain) like APHA TROX IVZ RWT OGI

  • It has almost an equal chance of further appreciation as other stocks.
  • I want to keep it as justification for MOETF system
  • Also, the price increment provides a buffer against a down turn. The protection (does grow with the increment) is defined as the ratio of increment/currentPrice. For example a 90% protection means my position would go underwater iFF the price hits 90% loss i.e. my current return is 900%.

F:US DYOC unstable

  • πŸ™ πŸ™ div stopped in early 2020 ! … Consider downsizing
  • analysts positive. tgt $16 https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=F

https://investorplace.com/2018/04/ford-stock-isnt-as-cheap-as-it-looks/ explains

  • why P/E ratio so low
  • div — /saving grace/

— pocketed dividend history: unstable

  • 50c Dec 2021
  • 15c Mar 2020
  • 15c Dec 2019
  • 15c Sep 2019
  • 15c Jun 2019